Appendix
ITS/CVO Driving Forces Exercise
Summary and Synthesis
Future Constants
The Commonwealth of Virginia ITS/CVO Mission Statement
The CVO Working Group concurred that, regardless of outside factors, Virginia would deploy ITS/CVO systems that would automate internal processes
Future Unknowns
The following table summarizes the results of voting to determine key issues/driving forces.
|
Key Issues/Driving Forces |
# Votes |
|
|
1. |
Level of private sector automation |
1 |
|
2. |
JIT increase |
0 |
|
3. |
Ability to streamline the state |
2 |
|
4. |
Privacy/intrusion issues resolution |
2 |
|
5. |
Public Opinion |
1 |
|
6. |
Legislative process |
6 |
|
7. |
Public perception vs. fact |
0 |
|
8. |
NAFTA standards affecting VA |
0 |
|
9. |
Industry growth in VA |
0 |
|
10. |
Population growth in VA |
0 |
|
11. |
Economic Policy - growth/no growth |
1 |
|
12. |
Megaships arriving in VA |
0 |
|
13. |
State investment in ITS/CVO |
3 |
|
14. |
Private investment in technology |
2 |
|
15. |
Level of truck regulation |
0 |
|
16. |
Uniformity of regulation across states |
2 |
|
17. |
Interstate cooperation |
4 |
|
18. |
Public/Private cooperation |
3 |
|
19. |
Types of freight/weight/height |
0 |
|
20. |
Rail shipping costs |
6 |
|
21. |
Availability of federal funds |
2 |
|
22. |
Technology |
5 |
|
23. |
Politics |
1 |
|
24. |
Private sector benefit |
1 |
|
25. |
Cost responsibility for pavement damage |
0 |
|
26. |
Misuse of state funds |
0 |
|
27. |
Dramatic safety-related event |
0 |
|
28. |
State personnel reduction |
0 |
|
29. |
Loss of key personnel |
0 |
|
30. |
Pressure from carriers on states |
0 |
|
31. |
Outbreak of war |
0 |
|
32. |
Internal U.S. terrorism increases |
0 |
|
33. |
Smart Cards (no currency) |
1 |
|
34. |
Reduced taxes due to ITS |
3 |
|
35. |
Individual responsibility movement changes |
1 |
|
36. |
Socialist feelings increase |
1 |
|
37. |
Defense industry involvement |
0 |
Underlying the key issues and driving forces with the highest number of votes are two main dimensions:
- Availability of State and Federal Funds
(Politics, misuse of funds, legislative processes, state investment in ITS/CVO, availability of federal funds, reduced taxes due to ITS) - Degree of Institutional "Harmony"
(Interstate cooperation, public private cooperation, privacy/intrusion issues)
"Status-Quo World"
- No major technology changes
- No major political changes
- No major economic changes
Therefore:
"Persuassion World"
Possibilities include:
- A major safety event occurs involving trucks
- Major rail system goes bankrupt
- Oil prices increase and truckers get regulatory reform as relief to ensure competition with rail continues
- No major economic changes
Therefore:
- Major increases in ITS/CVO funding
- No increase in intrastate or private sector coordination
"Friends in Adversity"
- A major technology advance occurs,
- making systems easier to use,
- making return on investment even higher, and
- filtering the technology to all carriers, even the smallest.
-OR-
- A major economic change occurs in the trucking market, increasing average carrier size
- No major political changes
Therefore:
- No major changes to ITS/CVO funding
- Major increase in intrastate and private sector coordination
"ITS/CVO Heaven"
- A major technology advance occurs,
- making systems easier to use,
- making return on investment even higher, and
- filtering the technology to all carriers, even the smallest.
-OR-
- A major economic change occurs in the trucking market, increasing average carrier size
- Major change in political environment such that funding focus changes to highly support ITS/CVO
Possibilities include:
- A major safety event occurs involving trucks
- A major rail system goes bankrupt
- Global climate treaty causes fuel prices to increase, thus government offers cost-saving devices to truckers to ease burden and maintain competition with rail.
Therefore:
- Major increase in ITS/CVO funding
- Major increase in intrastate and private sector coordination
The following table identifies possible strategies for the public sector.
